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If a week is a long time in politics I would suggest that the last 24 hours must have felt like an eternity for Andrea Leadsom.
Markets hate uncertainty and lack of direction. At a time when positive political decision making was required, we were confronted with a vacuum. However, two months of political uncertainty and Tory squabbling now appear to have been removed.
With Theresa May we appear to have a ‘safe pair of hands’ and the prospect of the first Prime Minister that has worked at the Bank of England.
Markets have initially taken today’s news as a positive. Notably Sterling’s free fall has seen a major relief rally. The immediate pressure on UK domestic shares appears to have eased and with it we have seen a marked intraday recovery in the FTSE 250. Whilst we still expect further easing measures this coming week from Mark Carney we are guessing that many at the Bank of England will also welcome today’s developments.
Alpha Investment Team comment:
‘We welcome today’s news. Faced with mounting political uncertainty we saw the impact on the UK’s economic situation deteriorating at an alarming rate. In the near term, this paves the way for a much clearer political landscape which markets will welcome, in light of the challenges presented by Brexit. However, the path for the UK’s exit from the EU remains far from clear and we wouldn’t rule out further trips to the polling booth within the next 12 months’.
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This publication is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon. The opinions expressed here represent analysis by an Alpha Portfolio Management representative at the time of preparation and should not be interpreted as investment advice.
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